ThesisCairn Dashboard

THESISCAIRN MACRO REGIME

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CONFIDENCE—

INTERPRETATION

Waiting for score engine…

DIVERGENCE—

DECISION SUMMARY

TOP SECTOR SIGNALS

NEXT DEEP-DIVE QUEUE

QUALITY GUARD

TOP POSITIVE DRIVERS

TOP NEGATIVE DRIVERS

REGIME HISTORY

V3.0 starts daily snapshots

USA-FIRST MARKET CALENDAR

Macro & Earnings Risk Map

Research snapshot

MACRO EVENTS

EARNINGS WATCH

Calendar is a researched snapshot focused on US market-moving events. Confirm earnings dates again before trading; company calendars can change.

NEAR-LIVE MARKET BOARD

Market Overview

Waiting

Market quotes use a free unofficial Yahoo provider with short server-side caching. Treat values as near-live private research data, not exchange-licensed redistribution.

CORE-64 WATCHLIST

Live Watchlist

Waiting

The watchlist is intentionally cached and does not write tick data to D1. If the free provider throttles, the dashboard degrades instead of failing.

LIVE SIGNALS—

GREEN—

AMBER—

RED—

LAST SYNCConnecting…

20-SIGNAL MACRO STACK

Macro Signal Map

Click any card for history, formula, source and data-confidence details.

EQUITY DECISION LAYER

US Sector & Stock Opportunity Screener

Not run yet

Run npm run screener:refresh. Yahoo mode needs no API token; EODHD mode needs EODHD_API_TOKEN.

BTC ONLY · 30 STRUCTURED METRICS

Crypto Horizons

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TODAY'S READ

LIQUIDATION HEATMAP · LAST 8H

Public OKX liquidation tape, not a licensed heatmap product.

SHORT-TERM · DERIVATIVES

Funding, open interest, liquidations, leverage, CVD, options, inflows, book, taker flow, DVOL.

MEDIUM-TERM · NETWORK

Addresses, NVT proxy, plus on-chain cards that stay linked to the original research charts.

LONG-TERM · HALVING CYCLE

Hashrate, Puell and S2F proxies, plus MVRV, SOPR, HODL and Thermocap source cards.

Crypto loads only on this tab via /api/v1/crypto and never writes D1. Live/proxy values use Binance, Bybit, Deribit, OKX and Blockchain.com. Glassnode, LookIntoBitcoin and CryptoQuant remain source cards until a licensed feed exists.

SECOND-ORDER AI TRADE

AI x Markets Thesis Board

Portfolio lens

INFRASTRUCTURE

APPLICATION LAYER

Software leverageTrack margin expansion, workflow lock-in and enterprise adoption.

Model dependencyWatch firms renting the same intelligence layer as competitors.

RISK CHECK

Capex digestionHigher spend must convert into revenue quality and free cash flow.

Power bottleneckGrid, cooling and energy constraints can become the real AI multiple gate.

THESIS MEMORY

Research Log & Decision Queue

Daily operating layer

SIGNALS TO LOG

DECISION PROTOCOL

1. Confirmed signalWhat changed in the data or source material?

2. InterpretationWhat might the market be mispricing?

3. FalsificationWhat would prove this thesis wrong?

4. Next actionDeep dive, watch, defer, reject or escalate.

V3.1 HISTORICAL VALIDATION

Regime Backtest & Calibration

Not run yet

Run npm run backtest:prod after deploying V3.1 to populate historical validation.

V3.2 CALIBRATION & TRANSITION LAB

What actually carries signal?

Not calibrated yet

Run npm run calibrate:prod to analyze the existing backtest without re-downloading benchmark history.

DATA QUALITY & SOURCE DISCIPLINE

Source Health, Proxy Flags and Anomaly Guard

Waiting

MACRO SOURCE COVERAGE

SCREENER QUALITY FLAGS

Yahoo-Free mode is a private research fallback. Static proxies and data anomalies must never be treated as institution-grade fundamentals.

OPERATING CONTROLS

ThesisCairn Admin Runbook

Manual confirmation required

NORMAL REFRESH

npm run refresh:prod

Smart macro refresh. Uses V3.3 incremental writes and skips sources that are not due.

SCREENER REFRESH

MAX_ROWS=100 ENRICH_LIMIT=0 npm run screener:refresh

Yahoo-Free decision queue refresh. No token required; still data-limited.

VERIFY

npm run verify:prod
npm run screener:prod

Check dashboard APIs, regime, source health and latest screener snapshot.

SPECIAL MAINTENANCE

npm run backtest:prod
npm run calibrate:prod

Run only intentionally. These are validation jobs, not daily cron tasks.